The math has two pieces. First, the deferred-deduction recovery: the R&D you capitalized in 2022 and was amortizing over 5 years gets deducted immediately in the amended return, generating a refund for the tax overpayment caused by the capitalization. Same for 2023 and 2024. Second, depending on the entity type, the refund flows directly to the C-corp or to the pass-through owner's personal return via amended K-1s.
A worked example. A C-corp software company spent $500,000 on domestic R&D in each of 2022, 2023, and 2024. Under TCJA §174, only $50,000 was deductible in 2022 ($500K / 5 years, half-year convention), $150,000 in 2023, $250,000 in 2024 (cumulative across the three years), with the rest stranded as future amortization. Amending under the OBBBA election expenses all $1.5M immediately across the three years. At a 21% federal C-corp rate, that is roughly $230,000 to $250,000 of additional refund in aggregate across the three amended returns, depending on how the deferred amortization had been running.
The catalog Signal uses to score these on inbound diagnostics carries a typical recovery range of $25,000 to $1,000,000, one-time. The low end is a smaller software or engineering shop with modest R&D spend; the high end is a mid-market manufacturer or biotech with multi-million-dollar R&D programs.
The recovery stacks with the §41 R&D Credit. Most companies that capitalized R&D under §174 should also have been claiming the §41 credit, and many under-claim it (typical range $25,000 to $250,000 per year in the Signal catalog). The combined recovery, when both are properly chased through the amend window, is often the largest one-time refund opportunity in the small-business catalog.